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lork



Joined: 05 Jan 2006
Posts: 12
PostPosted: Sat Feb 25, 2006 3:45 pm    Post subject: Am I extremely lucky? Reply with quote

ive been playing home games like.. forever, and i am always the person to call sumone wayyyy ahead in the hand like a 80-95% favorite, and 90% of the time the person hits their hand. Am i just extremly unlucky?
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pritz



Joined: 17 Jan 2006
Posts: 7
PostPosted: Sat Feb 25, 2006 3:45 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Time will turn that around, and youre hands will start holding up.
Only way to stop getting outdrawn is becoming a terrible player. They dont get outdrawn as much because the hardly ever have the best hand.
Take comfort in that you got your money in in the best spot, and you are a solid player. Like I said they will start holding up.
Its all odds, if someone has 2% to hit, it will happen 2 out of a 100 times, just sucks when its always sucking out on you. We have all been there, hang in there.
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lork



Joined: 05 Jan 2006
Posts: 12
PostPosted: Sat Feb 25, 2006 3:49 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

thanks for the support

it just sucks b/c there are 3 diff groups of homegames, there is the smarter ppl who know when they are beat and when they have the nuts(tough game, but its fun to have a challange) there is the also smarter ppl who are ALOT easier to bluff b/c they never call when they have the nuts, and there is this group of total fishes, ill play and ill hold like... 6-6, and they will have Qd-3h, flop will come 6h-8h-8h, and its just me and this one player who is short stacked(this is a very specific moment)so i send him all in and he calls with a 3 high flush draw. well like i said in my above post, 90% of the time these ppl hit, its just annoying as hell playing players who call with a 3 high flush draw, oh and ive had worse beats, beleive me!
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razor



Joined: 21 Dec 2005
Posts: 7
PostPosted: Sat Feb 25, 2006 3:50 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Well, if you're saying people would draw out on you with their 3 high flush draw, it would'nt matter because you already have a full house.

But to answer your question, luck evens out over time, so just hang in there and you'll keep playing good poker.
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ballen



Joined: 31 Dec 2005
Posts: 8
PostPosted: Sat Feb 25, 2006 3:51 pm    Post subject: Re: Am I extremely lucky? Reply with quote

lork wrote:
ive been playing home games like.. forever, and i am always the person to call sumone wayyyy ahead in the hand like a 80-95% favorite, and 90% of the time the person hits their hand. Am i just extremly unlucky?


I'm a little confused by the way you phrased your question. You say you are the person who calls someone way ahead in the hand. Meaning that you are the one ahead? And if so, why are you just calling?
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louis



Joined: 04 Jan 2006
Posts: 9
PostPosted: Sat Feb 25, 2006 10:14 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

It's odd that he's calling, but if I were 90% favourite and losing I think I'd be inclined to call!

Yes, you are obviously very unlucky - if you're at 80% favourite you should win 4 out of 5 times, statistically. If you win once then you are extremely unlucky, and I wouldn't trust you to play with my money.
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